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craft-beer-data

CSI tracker, statistics, proprietary data, research methodology, index scores

brewery-economics

+3

October Was Paid For In June

Aug 23, 2026

•

11 min read

October Was Paid For In June

Fall seasonals ship in August and get brewed in June. The tanks, the malt, and the aluminum all get committed months before the occasion pays anything back. What that timing costs to run, and what it costs to skip.

Tom Wagner
Tom Wagner

industry-trends

+3

Craft Didn't Lose The Drinker

Aug 16, 2026

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10 min read

Craft Didn't Lose The Drinker

Craft keeps losing volume while non-alcoholic beer keeps taking occasions. The money never left the beer aisle, it moved down it. What that shift costs to serve, and what it costs to ignore.

Tom Wagner
Tom Wagner

policy-and-tax

+3

Craft's Middle Tier Is Collapsing

Jul 5, 2026

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7 min read

Craft's Middle Tier Is Collapsing

A major beverage distributor is dismantling itself state by state, leaving craft breweries racing to find new routes to market before their beer stops moving.

Tom Wagner
Tom Wagner

brewery-marketing

+3

Craft's Demand Problem is Acquisition

Jun 28, 2026

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8 min read

Craft's Demand Problem is Acquisition

The regulars lean in, the line outside thins, and the World Cup hands its gains to someone else's glass.

Tom Wagner
Tom Wagner

policy-and-tax

+3

The Tech For Brewery Policy Survival

Jun 14, 2026

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10 min read

The Tech For Brewery Policy Survival

AI isn't just reshaping brewery advocacy, it's changing how compliance gets done. The tools are here. What's left is building a stack that actually runs.

Tom Wagner
Tom Wagner

policy-and-tax

+3

You Are The Lobbyist

Jun 7, 2026

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10 min read

You Are The Lobbyist

Most brewery owners have more political power than they realize, and a smaller barrier to using it than they assume. This week: why you, not a hired lobbyist, are your business's most effective advocate, and the five-part foundation that turns that into real legislative influence.

Tom Wagner
Tom Wagner

policy-and-tax

+3

The Bill That Already Passed

May 31, 2026

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11 min read

The Bill That Already Passed

Most brewery owners learn about legislation after the window to influence it has closed. Here's the two-hour system that makes sure you never find out too late.

Tom Wagner
Tom Wagner

policy-and-tax

+3

State Law, Local Law, & the Asymmetry

May 24, 2026

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11 min read

State Law, Local Law, & the Asymmetry

Federal compliance is the floor. State and local policy is the ceiling - franchise law, taproom caps, zoning, noise ordinances, and the city council member who governs your patio.

Tom Wagner
Tom Wagner

policy-and-tax

+3

Invisible Until It Isn't

May 17, 2026

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12 min read

Invisible Until It Isn't

Federal compliance is the layer most brewery owners feel confident about, and the layer that produces the most expensive surprises. Inside Section 3 of the playbook: Brewer's Notice gaps, excise tax mechanics under CBMA, the TTB-FDA jurisdictional trap, and two case studies showing what these gaps actually cost.

Tom Wagner
Tom Wagner

policy-and-tax

+3

WEEK 1 THE PLAYBOOK

May 3, 2026

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11 min read

WEEK 1 THE PLAYBOOK

Why I built a 376-page regulatory guide for craft breweries, what the three-tier system means for your business today, and what's inside this resource that should have existed years ago.

Tom Wagner
Tom Wagner

brewery-economics

+2

The Diversity Dilemma: What's Really Worth Brewing?

Apr 12, 2026

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18 min read

The Diversity Dilemma: What's Really Worth Brewing?

Tank time, NA beer, low-ABV options, and hop water as a data-driven look at which product decisions genuinely improve brewery margins and which ones quietly eat capacity and cash.

Tom Wagner
Tom Wagner

brewery-economics

+2

Why Breweries Fail & What Wins

Mar 1, 2026

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19 min read

Why Breweries Fail & What Wins

The patterns behind hundreds of brewery closures in 2025 and what the data reveals about which operations folded, which ones survived, and what consistently separates the two in today's market.

Tom Wagner
Tom Wagner

brewery-economics

+2

The Collapse of Growth: Now What?

Feb 22, 2026

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23 min read

The Collapse of Growth: Now What?

Craft beer's decade of expansion is over. Here's what the data says about the post-growth era and who's positioned to weather it, what the early recovery signals actually mean, and what comes next.

Tom Wagner
Tom Wagner

brewery-economics

+2

Finding the Sweet Spot: Product Variety vs Profit

Feb 8, 2026

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18 min read

Finding the Sweet Spot: Product Variety vs Profit

SKU creep, inventory management, and brewing efficiency. How small breweries are finding that fewer, better-executed beers consistently outperform sprawling tap lists on margins and cash flow.

Tom Wagner
Tom Wagner

brewery-economics

+2

The Capital Squeeze

Jan 18, 2026

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16 min read

The Capital Squeeze

How the end of cheap money is hitting craft breweries from rising interest rates, SBA loan covenants, to debt-heavy growth models unraveling and what lenders actually want to see from a brewery seeking funding now.

Tom Wagner
Tom Wagner

brewery-economics

+2

The Reality Check

Jan 4, 2026

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5 min read

The Reality Check

A data-driven state of the craft beer industry as 2026 begins and what the closure numbers, market trends, and industry signals actually say about where craft brewing is headed and what it takes to survive.

Tom Wagner
Tom Wagner

The Craft Beer Brief

A weekly, data-driven look at craft beer trends and how breweries are adapting to survive a changing market.

© 2026 The Craft Beer Brief.
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